The Baseball Projection Project

Baseball forecasts collected season by season, so that history can judge them.

Marcel Years

Season index2001 to 2009Hitters and pitchers

For most of the first decade covered here only one set survives in a form anyone can still open, and it happens to be the simplest one: a weighted average of recent seasons with a regression toward league average and an age adjustment. It was designed as a floor rather than a contender, which is precisely what makes it useful as a baseline across nine straight years.

The 2009 season is the point where a second continuous set joins it, and from there the archive widens quickly.

Continuous sets held for the 2001 to 2009 seasons
SeasonHittersPitchers
2009 SeasonMarcel, Oliver / FangraphsMarcel, Oliver / Fangraphs
2008 SeasonMarcelMarcel
2007 SeasonMarcelMarcel
2006 SeasonMarcelMarcel
2005 SeasonMarcelMarcel
2004 SeasonMarcelMarcel
2003 SeasonMarcelMarcel
2002 SeasonMarcelMarcel
2001 SeasonMarcelMarcel